Posted on December 29, 2019
We’re going to slap this one around like Bobby Kramer in “Loan Shark Muscle” (1959), the B-movie classic that launched the career of Daisy Tenderloin, among others.
That movie, by the way, represented a breakthrough for the Bakersfield Vision group, a loosely associated band of filmmakers whose weekend exploits nearly got them murdered in the mid-1950’s. See here.
Anyway, the trade for this week is a play on Brazil’s mining giant VALE S.A. (NYSE:VALE), the world’s largest producer of both iron ore and nickel, and holder of bragging rights to some of the greatest tailing dam failures in history.
Here’s her chart –
Lift the veil on this one, and you’ll see there’s nothing there but a big, laughing Amazonian moon-face.
No Daisy Tenderloin.
There’s reasonable support between 12 and 13, and it’s there we expect to see the stock settle over the next few weeks.
Here’s the weekly chart for the same time period –
As far as support goes, the weekly chart indicates the same twelve dollar level, roughly in line with the bunched, weekly moving averages (circled in red).
Late last week enthusiasm for VALE shares climaxed with a daily PUT/CALL ratio reading out of… well, a 1950’s B-movie thriller.
The number was completely out of character for the stock, registering a mere 2%.
Everyone was bullish.
And that says it all.
With that in mind, we offer you the following –
A Jew and His Gold recommends you consider selling a strangle on VALE, using the March 20th 14 CALLs, now going for $0.45, and the March 20th 12 PUTs, today at $0.31. Sell them both for a total credit on the trade of $0.76.
Many happy returns – and a safe and prosperous New Year!