בס״ד

Shock Knock! Stock Jock Mocks ROCK Stock: “‘Tick Tock’ on the Clock before the Hemlock’s Unlocked!” (ROCK)

Posted on August 19, 2020

The future’s rocky, friends…

Crag-like, even.

Think Swan-Dive…

T – I – M – B – E – R !

Annapurna.

Gibraltar Industries (NASDAQ:ROCK) is under the microscope today, an outfit that makes everything imaginable for the building trades.

But that’s not reason enough to buy the stock.

Headquartered in Buffalo, N.Y. (why anyone in his right mind…), ROCK has repeatedly beat (revised) earnings estimates of late and is offering strong guidance for both the coming quarter and full year.

That said, there’s only so high and so fast a stock can climb.

Scaling a Steep Cliff

With a P/E of 27 and no dividend, we say the latest move has been a tad enthusiastic.  Full of both Spanish machismo and British pub sot, ROCK shares ascended some 37% in just two early August weeks.

And now it’s time to cool.

Have a look –

This is the last six months of ROCK, and technically it shows –

  1. A bearish RSI overbought signal (in green) that approached 90 at its peak (!),
  2. An imminent MACD rollover (also in green),
  3. A bearish engulfing pattern to begin the week (enlarged, in blue),
  4. A large gap to be filled at 54 (in purple), and
  5. The first back-to-back, above average selling days in two months (in black).

All told, we say that doesn’t bode well.

A great deal of the recent rise, we believe, can be attributed to massive short covering, as the stock was recently boasting a rather large short ratio.

That said, it’s our current contention that the shorts are on their way back.

And it’s for all the foregoing that we’re now recommending a

Maximum gain is unlimited.

Maximum loss – with appropriate safeguards in place – is NIL.

Many happy returns,

Matt McAbby

 

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *