בס״ד

Tempur Sealy Infested With Bedbugs! Short-Sellers Itching For Blood! (TPX)

Posted on September 27, 2021

A very happy and meaningful Simchat Torah holiday to all you good Jews and Noahides.

We’ll be out of the office from noon today through Tuesday night (Jerusalem Standard Time).

Until then, you’re on your own.

Best of British luck!

We’re cutting straight to the chase today – because, face it – we need a nap!

The Sukkot holiday reminds you what a good schloof is all about.

Anyway…

Today, it’s all about Tempur Sealy International (NYSE:TPX), manufacturers of all things sleep-related (save Benadryl).

It’s our conviction that TPX is now overbought and ready to tip.

And the fundamentals concur.

Consider –

  • P/E is 19.31,
  • Yield is a measly 0.57%,
  • Price to Book is an extreme 24.20,
  • Debt/Equity is equally so at 3.76 (with another $800 million in notes now on offer – unsecured, of course, because it’s intended to…well, you know… pay off already existing debt), and
  • Insiders dumped 17% of their holdings over the last six months, to the tune of $89 million.

The alleged reason for the current bedding brouhaha is that people are moving and buying new houses – or so the housing statistics tell us.

But we’ve a feeling there’s no real sustainable housing boom, and that everything related to the building, buying and furnishing spree is more hype than reality.

The housing market’s record-setting pace of the first half of 2021 is now floundering.

And a crash is more likely than a rebound.

Last quarter, Sealy’s earnings were strong, admittedly, but this is not a trend we see continuing.

Here’s the TPX daily chart year-to-date –

Maximum gain is $5.00

Maximum loss is $2.50.

Patience will bear us fruit.

Along with trust in The Holy One of Israel.

Blessed be His holy name forever and ever.

And may the enemies of G-d endure bizarre deaths.

With kind regards,

Hugh L. O’Haynew

 

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