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They Chose Hunter Over Ivanka!? What Have We Come To!? (IBP)

Posted on November 9, 2020

This week’s trade is a play on two separate, but connected market phenomena.

And if we’re right about the pair, we’ll take home a jockstrap jackpot.

Times change.

The first phenomenon under discussion is the phony, post-election market rally that, apparently, no one saw coming and that supposedly bodes well for more immediate gains through November.

And to that, we say BALDERDASH!

What’s just transpired was as fake as the elections we just passed through – and the news media that dared declare a winner to that travesty!

Markets may climb nominally higher, friends, but this is not 2016.

What we believe is now occurring is a sharp, bullish retracement within a larger decline, and it’s sure enough evidenced in the volume figures on all the major indices.

Simply put, there’s nothing there.

Add to that an overbought stock that’s already turned lower (the second half of this week’s brainstorm), and we believe you have the makings of an old-fashioned, hum-dinger pocket-stuffer.

The company in question today is Installed Building Products (NYSE:IBP), an outfit that manufactures everything in buildings that you can’t see (vents, ducts, pipes, Jimmy Hoffa’s dismembered torso).

What might get you fired up about this company is last Thursday’s earnings release – that beat analyst estimates (marginally), but triggered the stock to sell off like a midnight shipment of cabbage patch dolls.

INSIDERS SELLING!

The fundamentals for the company are not good, either.

  • She carries a TTM earnings multiple of 34.4,
  • A Price to Book ratio of 9.1 (!),
  • Pays no dividend,
  • Posts a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.88, and perhaps most importantly,
  • The C-suite/insider crowd sold off an unprecedented 71.5% of their holdings over the last six months – to the tune of 75 million bucks!

And this, precisely as the stock pulled up to, and surpassed its former all-time highs.  (A full $63 million of stock has been unloaded since mid-August, when the final tear to the top was steaming like a Gaggia milk frother).

Fishy!

Now have a look at the technicals –

With kind regards,

Hugh L. O’Haynew

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