Posted on August 22, 2022
AECOM (NYSE:ACM) builds.
Their portfolio of projects spans the globe and includes skyscrapers, stadia, hospitals, freeways, and hotels, just to name a few.
They also rebuilt the World Trade Center.
And today they’re offering us a chance at a 2400% cash-grab that costs next to nothing to initiate.
When the construction’s finished, however, and the final touches are put on the penthouse, it’s time to catch the lift to the ground floor, wash up and head out for a nosh.
And that’s precisely where ACM stock now stands.
After a wonderful rise – that bested the Dow by some 12-13% over the past two months – AECOM has now been fattened to the full, and, in our view, is ready for the slaughter.
Consider a few fundamentals –
All told, this is not a cheap issue, by any stretch.
Again, we have a case of retail buying and institutional short covering that together led to a manic, unthinking spasm of acquisition.
ACM reported earnings on August 9th, and the results were mixed.
Revenues were short of Wall Street’s expectations by roughly 5%, while Earnings beat by three cents (3.6%).
More important, however, was the overall trend lower for analyst estimates in the weeks leading up to the announcement – a trend that has since continued, with dire consequences, we say, for the stock over the near term.
Take a look now at the daily chart –
Technically, we see…
But we need only a fraction of that move to pull out our 2400%.
Like this –
A Jew and His Money recommends you consider selling the ACM November 18th 75/80 CALL spread* for $1.80 (5.30/3.50) and buying the ACM November 18th 77.50/75 PUT spread** for $1.90 (5.20/3.30). Total debit on the trade is $0.10.
Rationale: the trade requires just a dime to set, and delivers a potent $2.40 NET if we’re right (that’s 2400%).
Max loss is $5.10 (difference between the CALL strikes plus the original debit).
Breakeven is $76.15, just $0.34 (or four tenths of one percent) below the current price.
We’re building back better with this one, friends.
May it ever be His will that we succeed in all that binds us to Him.
With kind regards,
Hugh L. O’Haynew